![]() ![]() "Texas sharpshooter fallacy.this article demonstrates how post hoc target shifting occurs and how it can distort the frequency and likelihood ratio statistics used to characterize DNA matches, making matches appear more probative than they actually are." "Painting the target around the matching profile: the Texas sharpshooter fallacy in forensic DNA interpretation". In the same way, we might notice a number of cancer cases, then draw our population base around the smallest area possible, neglecting to remember that the cancer cases actually came from a much larger population." "The Texas sharpshooter shoots at the side of a barn and then draws a bull's-eye around the bullet holes. "The term refers to the story of the Texan who shoots holes in the side of a barn and then draws a bull's-eye around the bullet holes" The Skeptic's Dictionary: a collection of strange beliefs, amusing deceptions, and dangerous delusions. "description: ignoring the difference while focusing on the similarities, thus coming to an inaccurate conclusion" Logically Fallacious: The Ultimate Collection of Over 300 Logical Fallacies.
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